Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Should have kept Smoltz

John Smoltz looked good in his Cardinals debut, and Brad Penny is getting lit up like a Christmas tree, and will be skipped in the rotation, at least once. I questioned whether this was the right decision at the time because I didn't like the alternatives.

Now Smoltz is on the Cardinals, and he pitched very well, striking out 9 batters, including 7 in-a-row in his St. Louis debut. Is his remarkable 'resurgence' a factor of pitching against a weak Padres team (11th in the NL in scoring on the road), or was he really a better pitcher this season than his stats showed?

Smoltz departure didn't exactly generate tears in Beantown. To the contrary, I think most fans wanted him gone. He had not done what John Smoltz is supposed to do: dominate the opposition, or at minimum, keep the Sox in the game.

But as I wrote previously, his periphiral numbers (Ks, BBs, HRs) were in line with his fine 2007 season, except for greater tendency to give up the long ball, but that had stopped in his last few starts with Boston. Erik Manning at Fangraphs thinks Smoltz is far from done.

The Red Sox should have kept Smoltz, and not just because of this gem against San Diego. They should have kept him because, even if he's old, he had pitched well last season and his results were very likely to change for the better. And without great alternatives (one-pitch Penny, a 23-year-old with only indepent league Japanese experience, and a host of other young arms), there was no reason to terminate the relationship so quickly. If the Sox miss the playoffs by a game or two, this is a decision that could haunt Theo & Co.

Monday, August 24, 2009

How long was Groundhog Day?

The Wolf Gnards blog digs into just how long Bill Murray's character relived the same day in the awesome movie Groundhog Day. (Beware: this is only for us geeks). Great analysis on a question I've pondered many time.

My take? Twenty-seven years, like the original script called for. I don't think it could have been much less.

Friday, August 21, 2009

Calipari: The ultimate dodger

In 1996, Jim Calipari led UMass to the Final Four, the best tournament run in school history. But according the NCAA, that run does not exist because of scandal.

In 2008, Calipari led Memphis to the championship game before falling to Kansas. And again, the Tigers run no longer exists according to the NCAA, due to several infractions, including a bogus SAT score for star Derrik Rose.

And yet Calipari got off scott free in both cases. After UMass, he jumped to the NBA for three seasons with the New Jersey Nets, including a playoff run in 1998. And he's now the coach at Kentucky.

Calipari may or may not have done anything wrong in his two college coaching stops before UK. He certainly has never been legitimately implicated in anything. But this smells rotten to me. It appears as if Calipari fostered (or at least tolerated) a culture of corruption at both institutions. In the case of Memphis, they knew what they were getting. As did UK, which apparently was aware of the NCAA investigation when it hired Calipari a few months ago.

What does this mean for college basketball? Likely little. The sport has weathered much larger scandals than this. But it is further confirmation that winning is king in college sports, not integrity and academics.

Wednesday, August 19, 2009

Nats do the right thing

My brother Marc is one of only 12 known Washington Nationals fans in the world -- and two of his sons help comprise the other 11. In June, I recommended that the Nats not draft all-world pitching prospect Stephen Strasburg out of San Diego State. I was wrong. They made the correct choice and it seems to have legitimized the Nationals franchise -- at least that's the hope.

Besides his piece above on what the Strasburg signing means to the Nationals, Boswell also had a great piece on Sunday counting down the negotiations.

I'm convinced that Boswell and Marc were right, and that I was wrong. Signing Strasburg for less than $16 million isn't exactly a bargain, but it was much lower than what many commentators were predicting.

I misread Strasburg and Boras. I thought the super-agent was going to use this as his own personal Judgement Day. He was going to force the Nationals to pay a price similar to what Strasburg might get if there was no draft, and if Washington didn't play, they would walk over to independent league baseball. But apparently Strasburg wanted to make this work, and Boras was content to let him. I have often lambasted Boras about being more about himself than his clients. In this case he abandoned his wage war against MLB and did what, I believe, was in the best interest of Strasburg's career.

So hats off to the Nats for making this work. And it gives all 12 of those Nats fans something to look forward to in 2010.

Monday, August 17, 2009

On DVD: Push surprises

Push movie review (on DVD)

Score: 8/10

Where has this movie been hiding? Its scores on Flixster and Rotten Tomatoes are not good -- either by fans or critics. But I found it to be a slick, stylistic combination of NBC's Heroes (a better version) and the Bourne movies. I enjoyed it more than almost any movie I've seen this summer (in theaters or on DVD), and it did a better job of capturing my vision of what superhero entertainment can do than Heroes or the most recent X-Men and Spider-Man movies.

What worked: First off, some great action sequences. Toward the end there's a fight scene between two Movers, wacking each other with telekinetic punches. And because it's in Hong Kong, most of the backgrounds were stunning and eary. The acting was also above average (hats off to Chris Evans), and the story was tight, though somewhat confusing at times. And I can't say enough about the style -- just a great combination of camera work and editing.

What didn't work: The story was a little confusing -- but I think it was meant to be. Following all the different 'super-folk' was a little difficult at the beginning, and could have been very hard if you aren't well-versed on the genre. The ending also left it wide open for a sequel (that's not likely to happen) so some of the biggest plot elements were left untied.

I did want to address the criticism I've heard that this is a rip-off of Heroes and X-Men. First, nothing can be a rip-off of Heroes. I enjoy the show, but there's nothing particularly original in its storyline; it's borrowing heavily from decades of comic book lore. Second, I didn't find it much like the X-Men films and only marginally like the comic books. Yes, it too borrowed from comic book themes and powers, but I don't really rate that as a crime. It's a genre flick, and I'm fine with that as long as the story and characters are interesting, which they were.

Who would want to see it. This is a tough one. It got panned by a lot of comic book fans, but I thought it was good in that context. It's also a very good action flick, with more drama and character development than most. It is pretty violent, and it contains underage drinking, so those are some of the warning signs.

Closing credits. As you can tell, I wish I would have seen this sooner. I might buy this on DVD -- it was highly entertaining, and I suspect has good re-watchability. In my mind, Push has taken its place in the top 8 superhero movies of all-time.

Sunday, August 16, 2009

On DVD: Hancock delivers

Hancock movie review (on DVD)

Score: 7/10

As I've mentioned before, I am a sucker for a good superhero movie. I had wanted to see Hancock in the theater, but never got to it. I rented it from RedBox the other night, and then watched it last night.

I was pleasantly surprised. (A 7 on my scale means I would have been OK with seeing it in the theater and I recommend it.) I was ready to be disappointed, but I wasn't. It was a flawed film, but it had enough good for me to recommend it.

What worked. As usual, I like Will Smith. Even playing an anti-hero like Hancock, his charisma carries the day. Jason Batemen and Charlize Theron were not as good, but both did a good job. The story was tight, though it did deteriorate into major cheese toward the end. The action scenes were above average. There is a lot of great comedy in here too.

What didn't work. Compared to much of the other superhero fare, the special effects were sub-par. And as mentioned early, the story went from highly interesting to a little cheesy, but both of those things are forgivable. My major issue was how crude Smith's character is at the beginning. That diminished my enjoyment of the film.

Who would want to see it. Superhero junkies. Action film fans. As mentioned above, if crude language offends, you would likely pass, and this is not a movie for kids.

Closing credits. As mentioned earlier, I recommend the movie with a few caveats. Wish I had seen it in the theaters.

Wednesday, August 12, 2009

Buy low: JJ Hardy

If I were a team in need of an everyday short (memo to Theo Epstein) I would be trying to make a waiver deal for JJ Hardy, who was demoted to AAA by the Brewers in favor of uber-prospect Alcides Escobar, who has a .762 OPS in in AAA as a 22 year-old.


Hardy is having a bad year, hitting 229/300/367, all below his career norms. Just last year he was one of the best hitting shortstops in baseball, and he provides good defense. He's also 26. The suitors will probably line up, but demoting him probably hurt his trade value. He was in a prolonged slump, with his OPS at its lowest level since May 6.


There's only a few teams with shortstops who are better than how Hardy performed in 2007-08. Some smart team is going to gobble in up, and though the Brewers may be better long-term with Escobar, they likely damaged the return they could have received for Hardy.


Honestly, this purge smells like a with hunt to me. I don't think this makes the Brewers better in 2009, and not sure about 2010. Odd move from Doug Melvin.